FTD Rates · market index · issue 1 · updated 20 Oct 2026Example · demo data

The FTD rate index — the market stops being a secret.

Median CPA rates per first deposit — by geo × vertical × model, from catalog aggregates and the live offer feed. Plus something rare in this market: who actually buys Telegram ads, from a public archive. For affiliates, networks and operators: the market level before you negotiate or send traffic.

$95FTD median · casino · Global▲ +6% in 30 days
$110FTD median · crash · IN/BD▲ +11% in 30 days
$82FTD median · casino · CIS▼ −7% in 30 days
38%RevShare median · Global— 0% in 90 days

Example · demo data. Every number on this page is an example until market aggregates are connected; do not base decisions on it. The index is in development · opening to aff.pro early-access members in the first month.

01

Index by geo

FTD rate medians by vertical in each market. No offer names: the market sees the level, not someone else's deals. Example · demo data

Global

VerticalFTD medianΔ 7 daysΔ 30 daysRS median
casino$95▲ +1%▲ +6%38%
betting$100▲ +2%▲ +5%33%
crash$110▲ +2%▲ +9%—
prediction$25 / ref.—▲10%

Prediction markets pay per referral, not per first deposit — shown as a separate row.

Turkey

VerticalFTD medianΔ 7 daysΔ 30 daysRS median
casino$90▲ +1%▲ +4%42%
betting$110▲ +2%▲ +7%35%
crash————

Advertising illegal betting in Turkey is a criminal offence (Law 7258). Only licensed programs are included in the index.

Brazil

VerticalFTD medianΔ 7 daysΔ 30 daysRS median
betting$85▲ +1%▲ +6%35%
casino$75▼ −1%▲ +3%38%
crash$70———

Regulated since 2025: only operators with a federal licence.

India

VerticalFTD medianΔ 7 daysΔ 30 daysRS median
crash$120▲ +4%▲ +11%—
casino$105▲ +2%▲ +8%40%
betting$95▲ +1%▲ +6%30%

Rules differ by state; cricket betting drives demand.

Bangladesh

VerticalFTD medianΔ 7 daysΔ 30 daysRS median
crash$65▲ +1%▲ +2%—
casino$60——38%

A small market with fast-growing mobile traffic.

CIS

VerticalFTD medianΔ 7 daysΔ 30 daysRS median
casino$82▼ −2%▼ −7%36%
betting$70▼ −1%▼ −3%30%
crash$88▲ +2%▲ +9%—

Regulation differs by country; only programs legal in their geo are included.

7-day movers

  • crashIN/BD$115 → $120▲ +4%
  • crashGlobal$108 → $110▲ +2%
  • casinoCIS$84 → $82▼ −2%
  • bettingTurkey$112 → $110▼ −2%

The sharpest median moves of the last 7 days — up and down. Demo sample.

02

Who really buys

A public archive of Telegram advertising: which brands buy placements, where and how often. Observed facts, not network self-reports. Example · demo data

  • crashCrash game · family AWW
    channels
    214
    creatives
    1.2k
    frequency
    very high
  • casinoSlot brand · BTR
    channels
    96
    creatives
    480
    frequency
    high
  • crashCrash game · CKZ
    channels
    71
    creatives
    210
    frequency
    growing ▲
  • casinoCasino brand · family DBR
    channels
    58
    creatives
    130
    frequency
    medium

Brand names are hidden in the demo sample. Once the archive is connected, this becomes a public sample with a source for every row.

03

Leaderboard

Anonymous and opt-in only: a nickname, a volume range instead of exact numbers, a “verified” badge via postback. Example · demo data

  1. 1@anton_*.**FTD per month: 1,200+IN/BD · crash✓ verified
  2. 2@tg_*****volume: $80–120k per monthTR · casino + live✓ verified
  3. 3@bin_*7RS income: $40k+ per monthGlobal · casino✓ verified
  4. +Your nickname here — applications open with the index launch
04

Payout speed

A public slice of the payout monitor: median, hold, complaints over 90 days and new ones this week. Network names are hidden in the demo. Example · demo data

NetworkMedian payoutHoldComplaints, 90 daysNew, 7 daysStatus
Network A10–15 min3 days00normal
Network B1 h2 days2 minor0normal
Network Cup to 48 h5 days32watching
Network Dup to 7 days7 days73caution
05

Affiliate stack · October

Which kinds of tools the market uses in each category and how they are paid for. No brands or prices: a vendor ranking comes once the data is verified. Updated monthly. Example · demo data

CategoryMarket pickPricingTrend
Trackercloud or self-hostedSaaS / licenceexample
Antidetectantidetect browser with team accesssubscriptionexample
Proxiesresidential and mobile poolspay per GBexample
SPYTelegram ad archivessubscriptionexample
Creativesonline editors and templatesfree tier and subscriptionexample
Hostingstatic site on a CDNfree tierexample

Monthly market report — by email

The index across every geo, who raised and cut rates, RevShare movement, payout speed — in one email on the first of the month.

Every issue also lands in Atom — read it in your reader, no email: Atom

The report is in development · the first issue goes to aff.pro early-access members. The Atom feed works today.

06

Methodology

Sources, the median, the update cadence — short and honest.

What is the FTD Rates index?

Median CPA rates per player's first deposit for every geo × vertical pair — casino, betting, crash — and RevShare medians for the same pairs. No offer names in the index: the market sees the level, not someone else's deals.

How is the median calculated?

For every geo × vertical pair we collect current rates from three sources: offer catalog aggregates, the live rate feed and partner uploads. Program duplicates are removed, the middle of the row is taken — that's the median. Δ is the change against 7-, 30- and 90-day windows; RevShare pairs are the same.

How often is it updated?

The page is currently built on a demo sample — no real uploads yet. Cadence after launch: medians and new complaints weekly, “who buys” too, the stack monthly, the full complaints slice over a rolling 90 days. The update date and issue number sit in the index header.

Where does “who really buys” come from?

From a public archive of Telegram advertising: which brands buy placements, in which channels, how often and with which creatives. Observed facts, not network self-reports.

Why the median and not the mean?

The mean breaks on outliers — hundreds of dollars for an exclusive doubles it. The median shows what the market really pays in the middle. 7-, 30- and 90-day deltas show the direction.

Why are there no offer or network names?

Rates are commercial data belonging to partners and networks. The index publishes market levels and movement, not someone else's deals. Network and brand names are hidden in the demo; after launch, individual rows can appear only with a network's consent and a label.

How is the leaderboard verified?

Opt-in and anonymous only: a nickname, a volume range instead of exact numbers. The “verified” badge appears once a network postback confirms the claimed volume.

Is this real data?

Not yet: every number on the page is demo data and is marked as such. Real aggregates appear once the sources are connected — the update date sits in the index header.